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The Junior Game
25 September 2024, by Mark van der Linden
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In the cycling transfer season, it seems that riders are being signed by professional teams at increasingly younger ages. Last week, the newly crowned time trial world champion, Paul Seixas, signed a pro contract with Decathlon - AG2R La Mondiale Team, while last year's road race world champion Albert Withen Philipsen (2023) signed with Lidl-Trek for next season just a week after winning the rainbow jersey in Glasgow. Talent develops quickly, and teams need to act fast.

 - 2024 Men Junior - Individual Time Trial World Champion, Paul Seixas
Scouts from pro teams are scouring results in younger and younger age categories, searching for emerging talent. If a promising youngster shows high potential, a battle breaks out among various teams to sign the young prodigy. Cycling teams, which were once institutions in their own right, have now transformed into fully-fledged academies. WorldTour teams have junior programs, development squads, continental teams, and clubs as satellite formations. Increasingly, teams are building entire structures in which riders can enter as soon as they enter the junior ranks and progress through the system, by age category, until they are ready for a pro contract, provided they prove good enough. In the race to secure the biggest talents, the major teams can't afford to miss the boat. Better to have 15 promising riders within the team’s structure, knowing only two might eventually be good enough for the flagship squad, than to miss out on them entirely.

Riders like Remco Evenepoel and Cian Uijtdebroeks, and emerging talents such as Jarno Widar, Joshua Tarling, and Jørgen Nordhagen suggest that the gap between the higher placed juniors and the pros seems to have narrowed, if not vanished. More and more riders, like them, are skipping the U23 category altogether.

What does this look like when we examine the top talents from the NEW junior rankings on ProCyclingStats? Let's break it down. Which riders from the top of the rankings are already connected to, or have future contracts with, pro teams? Well, it turns out there are quite a few.
Figure 1. Top junior riders embedded on, or with future contracts with pro team structures.
#RiderAs ofContract teamAff. pro teamFut. pro contract?
1 SEIXAS Paul2024Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale U19 Team (CLUB)DAT✓ 2025
2 SCHOOFS Jasper2025Soudal - Quick-Step Devo Team (CT)SOQ
3 REMIJN Senna2025Alpecin-Deceuninck Development Team (CT)ADC
4 ÁLVAREZ Héctor2025Lidl - Trek Future Racing (CT)LTK
6 MØLLER ANDERSEN Noah Lindholm2024Team GRENKE - Auto Eder (CLUB)RBH
8 DAHL Marius Innhaug2024Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale U19 Team (CLUB)DAT
9 FIETZKE Paul2024Team GRENKE - Auto Eder (CLUB)RBH
10 FINN Lorenzo2024Team GRENKE - Auto Eder (CLUB)RBH
11 ØRN-KRISTOFF Felix2025Wanty - ReUz - Technord (CT)IWA✓ 2026
12 OMRZEL Jakob2025CTF Victorious (CT)TBV
13 TAILLIEU Aldo2025Lotto Dstny Development Team (CT)LTD
15 VAN DEN BROEK Axel2025Wanty - ReUz - Technord (CT)IWA
16 WITHEN PHILIPSEN Albert2025Lidl - Trek (WT)✓ 2025
17 BESSEGA Andrea2025Lidl - Trek Future Racing (CT)LTK
18 SPARFEL Aubin2024Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale U19 Team (CLUB)DAT
19 BOULET Eliott2024Groupama - FDJ U19 Team (CLUB)GFC
21 GOSZCZURNY Patryk2025Team Visma | Lease a Bike Development (CT)TVL
22 DUNWOODY Seth2024Cannibal - Victorious U19 Development Team (CLUB)
23 KEPPENS Cedric2025Team Visma | Lease a Bike Development (CT)TVL
24 BOUSSEMAERE Louic2024Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale U19 Team (CLUB)DAT
25 BORREMANS Kasper2024Cannibal - Victorious U19 Development Team (CLUB)✓ 2027
26 BARRY Ashlin2024EF Education - ONTO (CLUB)EFE
27 GRÉGOIRE Baptiste2024Groupama - FDJ U19 Team (CLUB)GFC
28 VAN STRIJTHEM Matijs2025Soudal - Quick-Step Devo Team (CT)SOQ
29 JACKOWIAK Jan Michal2024Cannibal - Victorious U19 Development Team (CLUB)
32 VALJAVEC Erazem2025Soudal - Quick-Step Devo Team (CT)SOQ
35 VANDEVORST Nio2024Crabbé-Dstny U19 (CLUB)LTD
42 HERMANS Cas2024Crabbé-Dstny U19 (CLUB)LTD
43 VAN DYCK Jarne2024Crabbé-Dstny U19 (CLUB)LTD
44 CHALEIL Louis2024Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale U19 Team (CLUB)DAT
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Twenty-five of the top 30 juniors in the new PCS Junior Ranking are already part of a professional team’s structure. That’s quite something. It’s a lot.

 - 2023 Men Junior - Road Race World Champion, Albert Withen Philipsen
To get an even clearer picture, we need to make two important notes. Of course, better juniors tend to secure spots in better teams, and better teams have access to bigger races where more points can be earned, but even so, the trend is remarkable. Additionally, not all junior teams or programs are equally tied to the corresponding pro team. For example, Crabbé-DSTNY is an ordinary club with a junior team that has a partnership with Lotto-DSTNY. Meanwhile, EF Education-ONTO is a junior program backed by EF Education - Easypost, though it operates completely independently from the WorldTour squad.

Now, let’s take a closer look at how many and which riders have already signed contracts with a UCI Continental Team, linked to a professional squad, or directly with the pro team itself. These teams are directly connected to the professional structure, and the contracts are future deals, since juniors are not permitted to race for a CT, PT, or WT team.
Figure 2. Top junior riders embedded on, or with future contracts with pro team structures.

Future contracts on continental and higher level only.

#RiderAs ofContract teamAff. pro teamFut. pro contract?
1 SEIXAS Paul2025Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale Team (WT)✓ 2025
2 SCHOOFS Jasper2025Soudal - Quick-Step Devo Team (CT)SOQ
3 REMIJN Senna2025Alpecin-Deceuninck Development Team (CT)ADC
4 ÁLVAREZ Héctor2025Lidl - Trek Future Racing (CT)LTK
11 ØRN-KRISTOFF Felix2025Wanty - ReUz - Technord (CT)IWA✓ 2026
12 OMRZEL Jakob2025CTF Victorious (CT)TBV
13 TAILLIEU Aldo2025Lotto Dstny Development Team (CT)LTD
15 VAN DEN BROEK Axel2025Wanty - ReUz - Technord (CT)IWA
16 WITHEN PHILIPSEN Albert2025Lidl - Trek (WT)✓ 2025
17 BESSEGA Andrea2025Lidl - Trek Future Racing (CT)LTK
19 BOULET Eliott2025Equipe continentale Groupama-FDJ (CT)GFC
21 GOSZCZURNY Patryk2025Team Visma | Lease a Bike Development (CT)TVL
23 KEPPENS Cedric2025Team Visma | Lease a Bike Development (CT)TVL
25 BORREMANS Kasper2025CTF Victorious (CT)TBV✓ 2027
27 GRÉGOIRE Baptiste2025Equipe continentale Groupama-FDJ (CT)GFC
28 VAN STRIJTHEM Matijs2025Soudal - Quick-Step Devo Team (CT)SOQ
32 VALJAVEC Erazem2025Soudal - Quick-Step Devo Team (CT)SOQ
48 ROWE Elliot2025Team Visma | Lease a Bike Development (CT)TVL
54 VAN KERCKHOVE Matisse2025Team Visma | Lease a Bike Development (CT)TVL
71 VAN GILS Lucas2025Lotto Dstny Development Team (CT)LTD
72 DAUMAS Rémi2025Equipe continentale Groupama-FDJ (CT)GFC
76 CLAISSE Édouard2026Wanty - ReUz - Technord (CT)IWA
79 KINGS Ian2025Team Visma | Lease a Bike Development (CT)TVL
81 THIERRY Paul2025Arkéa - B&B Hôtels Continentale (CT)ARK
88 MUÑOZ Hodei2025Soudal - Quick-Step Devo Team (CT)SOQ
89 HOLMES Wil2025Hagens Berman Jayco (CT)JAY✓ 2026
91 BOUQUET Axel2025Arkéa - B&B Hôtels Continentale (CT)ARK
125 CHARRET Camille2026Arkéa - B&B Hôtels Continentale (CT)ARK
162 HERREÑO Martin Santiago2025VF Group - Bardiani CSF - Faizanè (PRT)✓ 2025
265 SAGNIER Karl2026Equipe continentale Groupama-FDJ (CT)GFC
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The list becomes a bit shorter, but it’s still impressively long. With 16 of the top 30 riders in the ranking holding a future contract with either a development team or the pro team itself, just over half of them are already secured with, in many cases, multi-year contracts designed to prepare them for the big leagues. And, just to remind you, it's only September. New deals can still be signed in the next months.
In addition to the race to sign the best junior riders early, the UCI rule allowing riders from development teams to compete for the flagship WorldTour team in professional races also plays a significant role in the growing number of young riders joining development squads. This rule provides a clear pathway for young talent to gain experience in top-level races while still being part of the development structure.
As of September 23rd, seven juniors have already signed future contracts with professional teams, with Seixas and Withen Philipsen's contracts set to begin on January 1st next year:
Figure 3. Top junior riders embedded on, or with future contracts with pro team structures.

Future contracts on professional level only.

#RiderAs ofContract teamAff. pro teamFut. pro contract?
1 SEIXAS Paul2025Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale Team (WT)✓ 2025
11 ØRN-KRISTOFF Felix2026Intermarché - Wanty (WT)✓ 2026
16 WITHEN PHILIPSEN Albert2025Lidl - Trek (WT)✓ 2025
25 BORREMANS Kasper2027Bahrain - Victorious (WT)✓ 2027
89 HOLMES Wil2026Team Jayco AlUla (WT)✓ 2026
162 HERREÑO Martin Santiago2025VF Group - Bardiani CSF - Faizanè (PRT)✓ 2025
269 CRUZ Edward2025VF Group - Bardiani CSF - Faizanè (PRT)✓ 2025
A couple of observations of (very) young riders in pro teams.

Let's take a look at how these young riders are faring in the professional ranks. Are they already winning at a young age? The answer, as we’ll reveal now, is increasingly: yes. Below is a graph showing the average age of the 20 youngest winners in professional races, grouped by birth year. The trend, dating back to the 1980s, shows that riders are winning at progressively younger ages. For instance, the first 20 winners born in 1980 (the generation of Alejandro Valverde) had an average age of 23.37 years when they won their first pro race. In contrast, the top 20 winners born in 2002 (the generation of Arnaud De Lie) were, on average, only 20.59 years old on the day they claimed their first professional victory. That’s a difference of almost three years!
Figure 4. Average age 20 youngest winners in professional races per birthyear.
  • 1980
  • 1981
  • 1982
  • 1983
  • 1984
  • 1985
  • 1986
  • 1987
  • 1988
  • 1989
  • 1990
  • 1991
  • 1992
  • 1993
  • 1994
  • 1995
  • 1996
  • 1997
  • 1998
  • 1999
  • 2000
  • 2001
  • 2002
24
23
22
21
20
    Figure 5. Youngest winners on pro-level born in 1987 compared to youngest winners born in 2002.

    Only (former) pro riders considered. 
    YoBRiderAgeAgeRiderYoB
    1987URÁN Rigoberto 20y + 139d19y + 263d VACEK Mathias2002
    1987BOASSON HAGEN Edvald 20y + 323d19y + 310d SHEFFIELD Magnus2002
    1987GUARNIERI Jacopo 21y + 361d20y + 133d TRONCHON Bastien2002
    1987ROUX Anthony 22y + 157d20y + 136d DE LIE Arnaud2002
    1987IZAGIRRE Gorka 22y + 248d20y + 202d NYS Thibau2002
    Top teams also tend to focus more and more on promising youngsters, shown by the number of riders under twenty years of age on WorldTour teams:

    Between 2008 and 2017, there were between 4 and 8 riders under the age of 20 signed to WorldTour teams each year. In the past three seasons, however, those numbers have risen to 18 (2022), 15 (2023), and 19 (2024). For the upcoming season, the count has already surpassed 10 and for 2026, 4 riders who will still be under 20 at January the 1st of 2026 are already 'taken'. They are the riders we saw earlier: Seixas, Ørn-Kristoff, Withen Philipsen and Holmes.
    Oh, and if you're a scout or just curious to see which riders are tied to a pro contract or to a subteam of a flagship pro team, and, more importantly, who are still 'available', we've got you sorted. Check it out here.

    Pavel Šumpík

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