ARTICLE | Who will win the World Championships Men's Road Race?
21 September 2022, by Mark van der Linden
Figure 1.
Figure 2. The ProfileScore for this stage is [profile_score].
Figure 3. Competitors with the the most PCS points in races with a profile score between [ps1] and [ps2] over the past 12 months.
show 10 more linesFigure 4. Competitors with the most PCS points in races with vertical meters between [vm1] and [vm2] over the past 36 months.
show 10 more linesFigure 5. Competitors with the most PCS points in races over [km] kilometre distance in the past 36 months.
show 10 more linesFigure 6. Startlist quality of past editions.
Figure 7. Startlist quality of [name] compared to selection of races.
# | Race | Quality | Class | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tour de France (2022) | 2.UWT | ||
2 | Liège-Bastogne-Liège (2022) | 1.UWT | ||
3 | World Championships - Road Race (2022) | WC | ||
4 | La Vuelta ciclista a España (2022) | 2.UWT | ||
5 | Milano-Sanremo (2022) | 1.UWT | ||
6 | Giro d'Italia (2022) | 2.UWT | ||
7 | Ronde van Vlaanderen (2022) | 1.UWT | ||
8 | Paris-Roubaix (2022) | 1.UWT |
Figure 8. Competitors with most points in races with startlist quality above [sl_quality] in the past 36 months.
show 10 more linesFigure 9. What races or stages are most like [racename1] when compared on distance, vertical meters, profileScore and short/long climbs index?
# | Race | Score | Distance | Vertical meters | Profile Score | Short/ long climbs index |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liège-Bastogne-Liège | 257.2 | 4342 | 182 | 8.6 | |
2 | Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa | 224.8 | 4147 | 231 | 6.1 | |
3 | Amstel Gold Race | 254.1 | 3460 | 112 | 12.2 | |
4 | Il Lombardia | 239 | 4659 | 210 | 4.4 | |
5 | Ethias-Tour de Wallonie | Stage 4 | 200.8 | 3289 | 136 | 7.7 | |
6 | Okolo Slovenska / Tour de Slovaquie | Stage 3 | 214.8 | 3635 | 117 | 4.7 | |
7 | Sibiu Cycling Tour | Stage 1 | 206.9 | 3801 | 127 | 2.7 | |
8 | Strade Bianche | 184 | 3107 | 167 | 9.7 | |
9 | Tre Valli Varesine | 196.7 | 3264 | 153 | 12.8 | |
10 | La Vuelta ciclista a España | Stage 20 | 181 | 3977 | 216 | 4.1 | |
11 | Skoda Tour Luxembourg | Stage 5 | 178.4 | 3186 | 146 | 9.7 | |
12 | Tour de France | Stage 14 | 192.5 | 3441 | 170 | 3.6 | |
13 | La Flèche Wallonne | 202.1 | 3160 | 173 | 12.2 | |
14 | Vuelta Asturias Julio Alvarez Mendo | Stage 2 | 202 | 4265 | 252 | 3.6 | |
15 | Trofeo Laigueglia | 202 | 2973 | 151 | 6.2 | |
16 | La Vuelta ciclista a España | Stage 5 | 187.2 | 2978 | 162 | 6.9 | |
17 | Itzulia Basque Country | Stage 5 | 163.76 | 3485 | 184 | 6.3 | |
18 | Vuelta a Andalucia Ruta Ciclista Del Sol | Stage 1 | 200.7 | 3460 | 121 | 4.1 | |
19 | Bretagne Classic - Ouest-France | 254.8 | 3116 | 95 | 13.0 | |
20 | Flèche Ardennaise | 168.6 | 3420 | 212 | 9.1 |
Figure 10. Most career points in [racelist] in the last [years] years.
# | Rider | Points |
---|---|---|
1 | POGAČAR Tadej | 1015 |
2 | ALAPHILIPPE Julian | 696 |
3 | VAN AERT Wout | 690 |
4 | MOLLEMA Bauke | 650 |
5 | FUGLSANG Jakob | 631 |
6 | EVENEPOEL Remco | 522 |
7 | VAN DER POEL Mathieu | 477 |
8 | POWLESS Neilson | 310 |
9 | HERMANS Quinten | 230 |
10 | ROTA Lorenzo | 218 |
11 | HIGUITA Sergio | 217 |
12 | COSNEFROY Benoît | 201 |
13 | SIVAKOV Pavel | 181 |
14 | MATTHEWS Michael | 172 |
15 | VALTER Attila | 132 |
16 | HONORÉ Mikkel Frølich | 125 |
17 | BETTIOL Alberto | 112 |
18 | CLARKE Simon | 111 |
19 | KAMP Alexander | 95 |
20 | BARDET Romain | 85 |
Figure 11. Riders sorted by the share of career PCS points scored in September and October.
# | Rider | Percentage of career points | Career points |
---|---|---|---|
1 | PELLAUD Simon | 51.1 | 573 |
2 | STEIMLE Jannik | 46.7 | 858 |
3 | OLIVEIRA Nelson | 42.0 | 2890 |
4 | BATTISTELLA Samuele | 40.6 | 1235 |
5 | BJERG Mikkel | 40.6 | 1304 |
6 | DEWULF Stan | 39.0 | 1339 |
7 | MOLANO Juan Sebastián | 38.3 | 1442 |
8 | COSNEFROY Benoît | 37.5 | 3350 |
9 | TRENTIN Matteo | 37.0 | 7644 |
10 | CAVAGNA Rémi | 35.8 | 2194 |
11 | VAN DER HOORN Taco | 35.2 | 1649 |
12 | PRADES Eduard | 35.0 | 2442 |
13 | BAGIOLI Andrea | 34.7 | 1420 |
14 | SHEFFIELD Magnus | 34.6 | 901 |
15 | KÜNG Stefan | 34.2 | 5805 |
16 | DENZ Nico | 33.5 | 886 |
17 | ALMEIDA João | 33.3 | 3864 |
18 | GIRMAY Biniam | 32.6 | 2265 |
19 | LAMPAERT Yves | 32.5 | 5507 |
20 | LUTSENKO Alexey | 30.8 | 5981 |
21 | MADOUAS Valentin | 30.5 | 3167 |
22 | OLIVEIRA Rui | 30.4 | 519 |
23 | FOSS Tobias | 30.0 | 1346 |
24 | HINDLEY Jai | 29.0 | 3038 |
25 | KOCH Jonas | 28.7 | 1060 |
Figure 12. The line-up for [team1].
BIB | Rider | Position PCS ranking | Quality score |
---|---|---|---|
0 | VAN AERT Wout | 2 | 50 |
0 | EVENEPOEL Remco | 3 | 50 |
0 | LAMPAERT Yves | 140 | 5 |
0 | VAN HOOYDONCK Nathan | 501 | 1 |
0 | STUYVEN Jasper | 52 | 10 |
0 | HERMANS Quinten | 69 | 10 |
0 | DEWULF Stan | 224 | 2 |
0 | SERRY Pieter | 715 | 1 |
129 |
Figure 13. The top-[topn] results percentage in stages and races with a profile score above [profile_score] for riders on [team1] in the last 3 years.
# | Rider | % | #Starts | #Top-25 |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | EVENEPOEL Remco | 39 | 30 | |
2 | VAN AERT Wout | 27 | 15 | |
3 | HERMANS Quinten | 26 | 6 | |
4 | DEWULF Stan | 39 | 5 | |
5 | LAMPAERT Yves | 19 | 2 | |
6 | STUYVEN Jasper | 29 | 2 | |
7 | VAN HOOYDONCK Nathan | 31 | 1 | |
8 | SERRY Pieter | 55 | 1 |
Figure 14. The line-up for [team1].
BIB | Rider | Position PCS ranking | Quality score |
---|---|---|---|
0 | POGAČAR Tadej | 1 | 50 |
0 | TRATNIK Jan | 195 | 5 |
0 | NOVAK Domen | 296 | 2 |
0 | POLANC Jan | 151 | 5 |
0 | PRIMOŽIČ Jaka | - | |
0 | PER David | - | |
62 |
Figure 15. The top-[topn] results percentage in stages and races with a profile score above [profile_score] for riders on [team1] in the last 3 years.
# | Rider | % | #Starts | #Top-25 |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | POGAČAR Tadej | 41 | 37 | |
2 | PRIMOŽIČ Jaka | 8 | 5 | |
3 | POLANC Jan | 56 | 15 | |
4 | TRATNIK Jan | 52 | 6 | |
5 | NOVAK Domen | 46 | 5 | |
6 | PER David | 11 | 0 |
Figure 16. The line-up for [team1].
BIB | Rider | Position PCS ranking | Quality score |
---|---|---|---|
0 | MOLLEMA Bauke | 81 | 10 |
0 | VAN DER POEL Mathieu | 11 | 35 |
0 | VAN BAARLE Dylan | 30 | 20 |
0 | EENKHOORN Pascal | 406 | 2 |
0 | HOOLE Daan | 477 | 2 |
0 | VAN DER HOORN Taco | 149 | 5 |
0 | MAAS Jan | 825 | 1 |
0 | POELS Wout | 200 | 5 |
80 |
Figure 17. The top-[topn] results percentage in stages and races with a profile score above [profile_score] for riders on [team1] in the last 3 years.
# | Rider | % | #Starts | #Top-25 |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | POELS Wout | 61 | 28 | |
2 | MOLLEMA Bauke | 62 | 26 | |
3 | MAAS Jan | 21 | 6 | |
4 | VAN DER POEL Mathieu | 23 | 5 | |
5 | HOOLE Daan | 17 | 3 | |
6 | VAN BAARLE Dylan | 60 | 8 | |
7 | VAN DER HOORN Taco | 27 | 1 | |
8 | EENKHOORN Pascal | 24 | 0 |
Figure 18. [percentage]% of the competitors in [racename1] has [typename] as their primary specialty.
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