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ARTICLE | Who will win the World Championships Men's Road Race?
21 September 2022, by Mark van der Linden
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Figure 1.
Figure 2. The ProfileScore for this stage is [profile_score].
Figure 3. Competitors with the the most PCS points in races with a profile score between [ps1] and [ps2] over the past 12 months.
Rider Points
1POGAČAR Tadej
1186
2EVENEPOEL Remco
414
3ROTA Lorenzo
372
4COSNEFROY Benoît
367
5VAN AERT Wout
364
6ALAPHILIPPE Julian
293
7HIGUITA Sergio
283
8HERMANS Quinten
266
9MATTHEWS Michael
255
10LUTSENKO Alexey
224
11CLARKE Simon
216
12VALTER Attila
191
13BARDET Romain
184
14BATTISTELLA Samuele
180
15PACHER Quentin
177
16MADOUAS Valentin
174
17O'CONNOR Ben
172
18BAGIOLI Andrea
170
19QUINTANA Nairo
163
20SOLER Marc
162
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Figure 4. Competitors with the most PCS points in races with vertical meters between [vm1] and [vm2] over the past 36 months.
Rider Points
1POGAČAR Tadej
1240
2MOLLEMA Bauke
808
3VAN AERT Wout
630
4FUGLSANG Jakob
593
5EVENEPOEL Remco
586
6ALAPHILIPPE Julian
486
7POWLESS Neilson
342
8HIGUITA Sergio
263
9SIVAKOV Pavel
245
10O'CONNOR Ben
237
11BARDET Romain
211
12HERMANS Quinten
210
13ROTA Lorenzo
170
14HONORÉ Mikkel Frølich
166
15ALMEIDA João
148
16VAN DER POEL Mathieu
144
17HINDLEY Jai
137
18LUTSENKO Alexey
132
19QUINTANA Nairo
131
20BAGIOLI Andrea
110
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Figure 5. Competitors with the most PCS points in races over [km] kilometre distance in the past 36 months.
# Rider Points
1VAN AERT Wout
2537
2VAN DER POEL Mathieu
1669
3ALAPHILIPPE Julian
1567
4POGAČAR Tadej
1466
5VAN BAARLE Dylan
998
6MATTHEWS Michael
992
7STUYVEN Jasper
896
8MOLLEMA Bauke
804
9FUGLSANG Jakob
765
10KÜNG Stefan
695
11TRENTIN Matteo
571
12EVENEPOEL Remco
559
13SÉNÉCHAL Florian
544
14KRISTOFF Alexander
525
15COSNEFROY Benoît
517
16SAGAN Peter
467
17POWLESS Neilson
455
18LAPORTE Christophe
425
19LAMPAERT Yves
412
20MADOUAS Valentin
394
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Figure 6. Startlist quality of past editions.
Figure 7. Startlist quality of [name] compared to selection of races.
# Race Quality Class
1Tour de France (2022)
1550
2.UWT
2Liège-Bastogne-Liège (2022)
1101
1.UWT
3World Championships - Road Race (2022)
1060
WC
4La Vuelta ciclista a España (2022)
970
2.UWT
5Milano-Sanremo (2022)
936
1.UWT
6Giro d'Italia (2022)
816
2.UWT
7Ronde van Vlaanderen (2022)
759
1.UWT
8Paris-Roubaix (2022)
752
1.UWT
Figure 8. Competitors with most points in races with startlist quality above [sl_quality] in the past 36 months.
# Rider Points
1POGAČAR Tadej
6717
2VAN AERT Wout
5714
3ALAPHILIPPE Julian
2495
4VAN DER POEL Mathieu
2363
5ALMEIDA João
2010
6MATTHEWS Michael
1986
7SAGAN Peter
1823
8HINDLEY Jai
1523
9VAN BAARLE Dylan
1509
10BARDET Romain
1429
11MOLLEMA Bauke
1410
12EVENEPOEL Remco
1359
13LUTSENKO Alexey
1340
14STUYVEN Jasper
1331
15O'CONNOR Ben
1265
16FUGLSANG Jakob
1178
17LAPORTE Christophe
1113
18HIGUITA Sergio
1109
19KÜNG Stefan
1105
20POWLESS Neilson
967
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Figure 9. What races or stages are most like [racename1] when compared on distance, vertical meters, profileScore and short/long climbs index?
# Race Score Distance Vertical meters Profile Score Short/ long climbs index
1Liège-Bastogne-Liège
52
257.243421828.6
2Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa
143
224.841472316.1
3Amstel Gold Race
165
254.1346011212.2
4Il Lombardia
172
23946592104.4
5Ethias-Tour de Wallonie | Stage 4
189
200.832891367.7
6Okolo Slovenska / Tour de Slovaquie | Stage 3
190
214.836351174.7
7Sibiu Cycling Tour | Stage 1
191
206.938011272.7
8Strade Bianche
204
18431071679.7
9Tre Valli Varesine
207
196.7326415312.8
10La Vuelta ciclista a España | Stage 20
208
18139772164.1
11Skoda Tour Luxembourg | Stage 5
209
178.431861469.7
12Tour de France | Stage 14
209
192.534411703.6
13La Flèche Wallonne
212
202.1316017312.2
14Vuelta Asturias Julio Alvarez Mendo | Stage 2
219
20242652523.6
15Trofeo Laigueglia
220
20229731516.2
16La Vuelta ciclista a España | Stage 5
220
187.229781626.9
17Itzulia Basque Country | Stage 5
221
163.7634851846.3
18Vuelta a Andalucia Ruta Ciclista Del Sol | Stage 1
223
200.734601214.1
19Bretagne Classic - Ouest-France
224
254.831169513.0
20Flèche Ardennaise
228
168.634202129.1
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Figure 10. Most career points in [racelist] in the last [years] years.
# Rider Points
1 POGAČAR Tadej1015
2 ALAPHILIPPE Julian696
3 VAN AERT Wout690
4 MOLLEMA Bauke650
5 FUGLSANG Jakob631
6 EVENEPOEL Remco522
7 VAN DER POEL Mathieu477
8 POWLESS Neilson310
9 HERMANS Quinten230
10 ROTA Lorenzo218
11 HIGUITA Sergio217
12 COSNEFROY Benoît201
13 SIVAKOV Pavel181
14 MATTHEWS Michael172
15 VALTER Attila132
16 HONORÉ Mikkel Frølich125
17 BETTIOL Alberto112
18 CLARKE Simon111
19 KAMP Alexander95
20 BARDET Romain85
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Figure 11. Riders sorted by the share of career PCS points scored in September and October.
# Rider Percentage of career points Career points
1 PELLAUD Simon51.1573
2 STEIMLE Jannik46.7858
3 OLIVEIRA Nelson42.02890
4 BATTISTELLA Samuele40.61235
5 BJERG Mikkel40.61304
6 DEWULF Stan39.01339
7 MOLANO Juan Sebastián38.31442
8 COSNEFROY Benoît37.53350
9 TRENTIN Matteo37.07644
10 CAVAGNA Rémi35.82194
11 VAN DER HOORN Taco35.21649
12 PRADES Eduard35.02442
13 BAGIOLI Andrea34.71420
14 SHEFFIELD Magnus34.6901
15 KÜNG Stefan34.25805
16 DENZ Nico33.5886
17 ALMEIDA João33.33864
18 GIRMAY Biniam32.62265
19 LAMPAERT Yves32.55507
20 LUTSENKO Alexey30.85981
21 MADOUAS Valentin30.53167
22 OLIVEIRA Rui30.4519
23 FOSS Tobias30.01346
24 HINDLEY Jai29.03038
25 KOCH Jonas28.71060
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Figure 12. The line-up for [team1].
BIB Rider Position PCS ranking Quality score
0 VAN AERT Wout250
0 EVENEPOEL Remco350
0 LAMPAERT Yves1405
0 VAN HOOYDONCK Nathan5011
0 STUYVEN Jasper5210
0 HERMANS Quinten6910
0 DEWULF Stan2242
0 SERRY Pieter7151
129
Figure 13. The top-[topn] results percentage in stages and races with a profile score above [profile_score] for riders on [team1] in the last 3 years.
# Rider % #Starts #Top-25
1 EVENEPOEL Remco
77
3930
2 VAN AERT Wout
56
2715
3 HERMANS Quinten
23
266
4 DEWULF Stan
13
395
5 LAMPAERT Yves
11
192
6 STUYVEN Jasper
7
292
7 VAN HOOYDONCK Nathan
3
311
8 SERRY Pieter
2
551
Figure 14. The line-up for [team1].
BIB Rider Position PCS ranking Quality score
0 POGAČAR Tadej150
0 TRATNIK Jan1955
0 NOVAK Domen2962
0 POLANC Jan1515
0 PRIMOŽIČ Jaka-
0 PER David-
62
Figure 15. The top-[topn] results percentage in stages and races with a profile score above [profile_score] for riders on [team1] in the last 3 years.
# Rider % #Starts #Top-25
1 POGAČAR Tadej
90
4137
2 PRIMOŽIČ Jaka
63
85
3 POLANC Jan
27
5615
4 TRATNIK Jan
12
526
5 NOVAK Domen
11
465
6 PER David
0
110
Figure 16. The line-up for [team1].
BIB Rider Position PCS ranking Quality score
0 MOLLEMA Bauke8110
0 VAN DER POEL Mathieu1135
0 VAN BAARLE Dylan3020
0 EENKHOORN Pascal4062
0 HOOLE Daan4772
0 VAN DER HOORN Taco1495
0 MAAS Jan8251
0 POELS Wout2005
80
Figure 17. The top-[topn] results percentage in stages and races with a profile score above [profile_score] for riders on [team1] in the last 3 years.
# Rider % #Starts #Top-25
1 POELS Wout
46
6128
2 MOLLEMA Bauke
42
6226
3 MAAS Jan
29
216
4 VAN DER POEL Mathieu
22
235
5 HOOLE Daan
18
173
6 VAN BAARLE Dylan
13
608
7 VAN DER HOORN Taco
4
271
8 EENKHOORN Pascal
0
240
Figure 18. [percentage]% of the competitors in [racename1] has [typename] as their primary specialty.

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